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Category: Macroeconomic


Activity, Capital and risk, Macroeconomic, Trading

Chances of a fourth rate hike this year just took a big jump higher

April 23, 2018

Via: CNBC

The market is finally coming around to the idea that the Federal Reserve this year will be raising interest rates a total of four times. Though some big forecasting firms on Wall Street for months have been predicting a more […]


Capital and risk, Macroeconomic

U.S. Economy Added 103,000 Jobs in March, Missing Projections

April 6, 2018

Via: TheStreet

The U.S. economy added 103,000 jobs last month, missing expectations, the Labor Department said Friday. The gains fell short of economists’ estimates of a 185,000 increase in non-farm payrolls in March. Investors have scrutinized recent employment reports for clues on […]


Capital and risk, Macroeconomic

Look out below as stock market bulls turn bearish

March 30, 2018

Via: Market Watch

The U.S. stock market is overvalued by many different measures. I recently shared Dave Rosenberg’s thoughts on the subject. Rosenberg broke down the S&P 500 Index SPX, +1.38% using four valuation metrics, observing that only 8% of the time in […]


Capital and risk, Macroeconomic

It’s time to test the early warning system for the economy and stocks

March 21, 2018

Via: CNBC

“This is a test. This is only a test. If this had been an actual emergency, you would have been instructed to tune to one of the broadcast stations in your area.” When I was kid, the Emergency Broadcasting System […]


Activity, Capital and risk, Macroeconomic, Trading

The Fed is unlikely to mention the one thing that could really hurt the economy

March 20, 2018

Via: CNBC

The Fed will likely upgrade its view of the economy when it meets this week, but it’s unlikely to publicly discuss one of the bigger risks for the economy — potential trade wars. The Trump administration is reportedly prepared to […]


Capital and risk, Liquidity, Macroeconomic

Volatile dollar’s many woes call for neutral positioning, analyst says

March 19, 2018

Via: Market Watch

A tightening Federal Reserve is supporting a firmer U.S. dollar, but fears over government policies and the sustained health of the U.S. economy are tugging on the U.S. currency. In all this conflict, it seems best to be dollar-neutral, said […]


Capital and risk, Macroeconomic

US business inventories continue to rise as sales post largest drop in over a year

March 14, 2018

Via: CNBC

U.S. business inventories increased solidly in January as sales recorded their biggest drop in 1½ years. The Commerce Department said on Wednesday that business inventories rose 0.6 percent after advancing by the same margin in December. The increase in inventories, […]


Capital and risk, Macroeconomic

China is at risk of a banking crisis, a central bank body says

March 12, 2018

Via: CNBC

China is one of the economies most at risk of a banking crisis, according to the Bank of International Settlements, which published its quarterly review on Sunday. The report, which included a study on the early signs of a banking […]


Capital and risk, Macroeconomic

U.S. Economy Adds 313,000 Jobs in February as Wage Growth Moderates

March 9, 2018

Via: TheStreet

Toot that horn, Trump. The U.S. economy added 313,000 jobs in February, well above expectations, while wage growth moderated to 2.6%. Economists had expected growth in nonfarm payrolls of 200,000, based on a survey by data provider FactSet. The wage […]


Capital and risk, Macroeconomic

Fed’s Kaplan: Rate hikes are necessary as the US nears full employment

March 6, 2018

Via: CNBC

Raising interest rates now gives the U.S. the best chance to keep pushing the economy forward, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan said Tuesday. In that light, Kaplan said he favors three rate hikes this year, a sentiment reflected in markets […]